Geopolitics Resilience
Inflation Resilience

For many families, inflation feels abstract until it shows up in school fees, grocery bills, or the cost of a flight. The portfolio value may still rise on paper, but the real question is simpler:
“Can this money still buy what my family needs, in the places and currencies we actually live in?”
Even when headline inflation looks low, the effect of rising prices is quiet and relentless. Over several years, a “small” rate can meaningfully reduce purchasing power—especially in environments where fuel, food, and imported goods are sensitive to currency moves. That’s the reality for many African HNWIs, including families in Tanzania: inflation is not always a crisis, but it is always there in the background, compounding against you.
The families we work with who handle this best don’t search for a single perfect hedge. They build a system: currency-aligned reserves for near-term needs, quality income assets that can adjust to higher prices, and long-term growth holdings with genuine pricing power, all wrapped in structures that keep options open across borders.
Inflation is simply the rate at which the general price level rises. When it’s moderate and stable, it can be lived with. When it surprises or links to currency weakness, it starts to quietly eat wealth.
If local prices rise faster than your after-tax portfolio return, your real spending power shrinks. You might still see your wealth growing in nominal terms, but in the supermarket, at the school bursar’s office, or at the hospital, it buys less.
In much of sub-Saharan Africa, growth is improving but price pressures remain uneven. Energy, FX, and financing conditions still matter. Tanzania’s inflation has been relatively contained in recent prints, but exposure to imports and foreign funding means that shocks can pass through quickly. The risk is less about headline spikes and more about what happens over five, ten, or fifteen years if inflation quietly runs ahead of your plan.
Inflation hurts wealth in a few simple ways. It reduces the real value of cash left sitting in low-yield accounts. It erodes the purchasing power of fixed coupons on long-dated bonds. And if your future spending is in one currency while most assets sit in another, currency moves can amplify the problem.
The antidote is not to abandon safety, but to be more deliberate about three things:
Over the next year, the goal is simple: buy time and avoid being a forced seller.
One way to do this is to segment your cash. Many families keep 6–12 months of lifestyle or operating expenses in highly liquid local-currency accounts or short-dated instruments. That covers near-term needs without depending on volatile markets. For known foreign obligations—such as tuition or medical retainers—converting in regular tranches helps average out FX levels instead of betting everything on a single day’s rate.
On the income side, short-duration, high-quality fixed income can capture yield without locking you into long coupons that may be eroded if inflation re-accelerates. You are paid to wait, but not trapped.
In equities, it’s wise to tilt toward essential goods and services—companies that can pass on higher costs reasonably quickly because their products or services are mission-critical. Think staple goods, certain healthcare providers, or key infrastructure and utilities.
For currency, the focus is on hedging known obligations rather than predicting moves. Pre-buying a portion of near-term foreign-currency needs or using simple forward agreements (within clear limits and with trusted banks) can reduce unpleasant surprises when invoices arrive.
Beyond the next year, the question shifts from defence to design: what kind of portfolio can live with inflation over a decade or more?
Here, real assets play an important role. Carefully selected income-producing real estate and infrastructure—ideally with inflation-linked rent escalations or tariffs—can help cash flows keep pace with rising costs. The emphasis should be on quality tenants, conservative leverage, and sensible locations, not on speculation.
A second pillar is quality equities. Businesses with genuine pricing power, low leverage, and recurring cash flows have more tools to manage cost pressures than highly leveraged or purely speculative “story” stocks. Over time, they can respond to inflation by adjusting prices and growing earnings.
Currency should be blended by purpose. Hard currencies such as USD or GBP often make sense for education, healthcare, travel, and offshore opportunities. Local currency exposure anchors domestic spending and local ventures. The one rule that rarely changes: avoid borrowing heavily in a currency you don’t earn in.
For some families, there is also a place for selective private credit and alternatives—for example, floating-rate or inflation-linked private credit, or diversified commodity exposure through institutional vehicles. These can add resilience if structured and sized correctly, and if they sit on top of a secure liquidity base.
Even the best asset mix can be undermined by weak structure.
Families with cross-border lives benefit from combining onshore holdings with offshore custody or wrappers. This provides diversification across legal systems, clearer succession, and access to instruments that may not be available locally. Just as importantly, it allows for consolidated reporting, so decisions are based on a true picture of exposure, not scattered statements.
Good structure is also about governance. An investment policy statement, a currency policy, and clearly defined liquidity ladders create a framework so that changes are made according to rules, not headlines. Counterparties, limits, and signatories are pre-approved, which makes it easier to act quickly and cleanly when windows open.
Seen from Tanzania, a few additional nuances stand out. Local inflation has, in recent periods, remained relatively contained by regional standards. But import prices and exchange rates can move quickly, particularly for fuel and food. Families who watch these components closely, rather than just the headline number, are better prepared.
The sensitivity of local prices to currency moves means that foreign exposure has to be managed carefully. A weaker local currency can push imported inflation higher. Setting simple FX “bands” that prompt you to review pricing, spending, or conversion plans can help you respond rather than react.
Financing conditions also matter. Years of higher global rates have tightened access to capital in some African markets, even as conditions slowly ease. Relying on cheap leverage as a core inflation strategy is risky. It is usually better to let natural cash flows and disciplined reinvestment do the compounding.
For households and family offices, an effective approach usually starts with a three-bucket plan: liquidity, income, and growth. Future cash flows are mapped by currency, and reserves are aligned with those needs. Hard-currency assets are used for global obligations; unhedged foreign-currency debt against purely local income is kept to a minimum. Rebalancing once a year keeps the strategy intact as markets and FX drift.
Entrepreneurs look at both sides of the balance sheet. They try to match revenues with costs, seeking foreign-linked income if a large share of inputs is priced in foreign currency. They set simple FX policies—hedging a portion of the next few quarters of known needs, documenting limits and settlement terms with banks, and inserting pass-through clauses or review bands into key contracts.
Across both groups, one principle stands out: governance before trades. The families who cope best with inflation don’t start with products. They start with a clear plan, then choose instruments and structures to serve it.
There are some recurring traps. Parking too much wealth in local cash for too long, simply because it feels safe, is one. Accumulating large foreign-currency liabilities without corresponding income is another. Stretching for yield in illiquid, long-duration instruments without thinking through inflation is a third.
Speculating on foreign exchange with working capital sits in its own category: it combines business risk with market risk in ways that are hard to unpick when conditions turn.
Inflation-proofing wealth is not a single trade or a clever hedge. It is a system:
With Tanzanian inflation currently contained but exposed to FX and import shocks, disciplined segmentation, careful selection, and solid structure are a family’s real edge.
At Hament, we help Tanzanian and African families turn these ideas into practice: cash ladders, currency policies, portfolio design, and governance frameworks that aim to protect purchasing power over the long run.
Contact Hament to build an inflation-aware plan tailored to your family and broader African exposure.